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Unrealised MVRV Zscore Ribbon MVRV Zscore Ribbon

Bitcoin

The MVRV Z-Score expresses how far Bitcoin's market value has stretched above or below its realized value, standardized into standard-deviation units.

Why it matters

It identifies periods of extreme over- or under-valuation relative to the aggregate cost basis of the entire supply.

How it is built

Market cap minus realized cap is divided by the standard deviation of market cap, yielding a Z-Score; the ribbon overlays smoothed variants to show trend.

What to watch

Historically, Z-Scores above roughly 7 have marked cycle tops and values below 0.1 have marked bottoms, making it one of the most reliable long-horizon valuation extremes.

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