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Macro Ustreasury Yields Inversion Ustreasury Yields Inversion

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This measures the inversion of the US Treasury yield curve relative to the Fed Funds rate.

Why it matters

It is a classic recession-risk and monetary-policy-stance indicator.

How it is built

The spread between longer-term yields and the Fed Funds rate is tracked.

What to watch

Deep inversions have historically preceded recessions and shifts in risk-asset regimes.

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