Cryp2Nova

Reserve Risk

Cardano

Reserve Risk quantifies the confidence of long-term holders relative to the price, comparing the incentive to sell against the conviction to hold.

Why it matters

It identifies attractive risk/reward zones for accumulation, when holder conviction is high but price is low.

How it is built

Price is divided by HODL Bank — the accumulated opportunity cost that holders forgo by not selling — so low readings mean strong conviction at low prices.

What to watch

Historically, very low Reserve Risk (deep-value zone) has marked outstanding long-term buying opportunities, while high readings warn that conviction is being spent into rising prices near tops.

Measured on this chain

Reserve Risk on Cardano last read 0.6294 on Aug 23, 2026, a change of +41.6% over 30 days, ranging from 0.3757 (Jun 25, 2026) to 2.43 (Dec 2, 2024).

Latest reading
0.6294
Aug 23, 2026
Change
1d +0.5%
30d +41.6%
90d +6.05%
1y -61.67%
Range
Low 0.3757·Jun 25, 2026
High 2.43·Dec 2, 2024
Coverage
Jun 15, 2024Aug 23, 2026
800 readings
Recent readings
DateValue
Aug 12, 20260.5015
Aug 13, 20260.5015
Aug 14, 20260.4953
Aug 15, 20260.4854
Aug 16, 20260.4818
Aug 17, 20260.4804
Aug 18, 20260.4817
Aug 19, 20260.5178
Aug 20, 20260.552
Aug 21, 20260.6347
Aug 22, 20260.6263
Aug 23, 20260.6294

Read from our own stored series, not quoted from a page.

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