Reserve Risk
Ethereum
Reserve Risk quantifies the confidence of long-term holders relative to the price, comparing the incentive to sell against the conviction to hold.
Why it matters
It identifies attractive risk/reward zones for accumulation, when holder conviction is high but price is low.
How it is built
Price is divided by HODL Bank — the accumulated opportunity cost that holders forgo by not selling — so low readings mean strong conviction at low prices.
What to watch
Historically, very low Reserve Risk (deep-value zone) has marked outstanding long-term buying opportunities, while high readings warn that conviction is being spent into rising prices near tops.
Measured on this chain
Reserve Risk on Ethereum last read 0.00000004777 on Aug 24, 2026, a change of +32.38% over 30 days, ranging from 0.00000002729 (Apr 8, 2025) to 0.00000007886 (Aug 13, 2025).
- Latest reading
- 0.00000004777
- Aug 24, 2026
- Change
- 1d +1.31%
- 30d +32.38%
- 90d +24.49%
- 1y -38%
- Range
- Low 0.00000002729·Apr 8, 2025
- High 0.00000007886·Aug 13, 2025
- Coverage
- Jun 16, 2024 — Aug 24, 2026
- 800 readings
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | 0.00000003634 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | 0.0000000363 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 0.00000003641 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | 0.00000003641 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 0.0000000369 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | 0.00000003699 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | 0.00000004036 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | 0.00000004489 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | 0.00000004681 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | 0.00000004686 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | 0.00000004715 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | 0.00000004777 |
Read from our own stored series, not quoted from a page.